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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.36vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.47+4.28vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+2.69vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+0.26vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+1.67vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-3.43vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.13vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.65-0.92vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.02-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.28Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.69Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston College3.200.2%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 17.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Annie Spence | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 5.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Erin Coyne | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 47.5% |
| Marie Bergsund | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.