Race 10B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Steadman 17.4% 14.4% 14.6% 11.2% 11.8% 8.8% 7.1% 5.2% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 10.1% 10.6% 10.2% 8.4% 12.6% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 7.2% 6.7% 5.3% 2.3% 1.0%
Kelsey Shakin 5.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 9.4% 8.5% 9.5% 10.4% 9.9% 7.4% 4.2% 2.1%
Greta Farrell 5.6% 7.4% 5.4% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.5% 9.3% 8.6% 10.2% 7.8% 3.2%
Lucy Wilmot 9.1% 9.6% 8.9% 10.1% 8.4% 7.6% 9.2% 10.1% 8.6% 7.0% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3%
Ragna Agerup 8.3% 8.2% 10.0% 8.2% 8.6% 10.6% 9.6% 8.9% 8.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.4% 0.7%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.9% 14.5% 14.0% 12.0% 11.6% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 3.6% 2.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Molly Pleskus 6.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 6.5% 9.7% 9.7% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 8.4% 6.2% 2.2%
Allison Cahn 4.1% 5.0% 4.0% 4.6% 5.9% 5.5% 6.6% 9.2% 9.1% 11.4% 13.3% 13.6% 7.7%
Delaney Bamford 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 7.3% 10.4% 9.2% 7.6% 8.9% 9.4% 8.0% 4.6% 2.5%
Annie Spence 4.6% 6.1% 5.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 10.6% 10.5% 9.1% 4.8%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.7% 2.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 8.2% 19.8% 45.8%
Marie Bergsund 1.6% 1.2% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 4.7% 3.9% 7.1% 7.4% 12.3% 23.2% 28.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.