Race 11B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Steadman 18.3% 12.3% 15.0% 12.4% 10.4% 9.7% 6.9% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4%
Ragna Agerup 6.8% 8.7% 8.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.1% 8.8% 9.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 3.7% 1.6%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.4% 10.2% 10.8% 9.8% 12.0% 7.0% 10.1% 8.8% 8.6% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
Isabella Loosbrock 16.8% 16.0% 13.8% 14.0% 7.8% 10.4% 7.2% 5.2% 4.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Kelsey Shakin 8.4% 7.7% 8.5% 8.7% 7.8% 9.4% 7.7% 11.0% 7.9% 9.5% 6.9% 4.9% 1.6%
Lucy Wilmot 9.1% 8.9% 8.5% 9.3% 10.1% 11.0% 9.0% 7.1% 8.3% 7.3% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8%
Greta Farrell 7.2% 7.6% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 7.6% 9.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.9% 9.3% 7.8% 2.6%
Delaney Bamford 6.8% 9.3% 8.1% 6.6% 8.7% 8.3% 10.4% 9.3% 8.5% 10.0% 7.1% 4.8% 2.1%
Molly Pleskus 6.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.9% 7.2% 6.6% 9.8% 9.4% 11.0% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1% 2.8%
Marie Bergsund 1.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 4.5% 6.7% 8.0% 11.9% 20.6% 29.5%
Erin Coyne 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.7% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 6.5% 10.8% 18.3% 42.2%
Allison Cahn 4.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.2% 7.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 9.4% 11.2% 13.3% 13.3% 9.4%
Annie Spence 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 9.6% 12.0% 11.8% 11.3% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.