Race 12B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lucy Wilmot 8.5% 8.1% 9.7% 8.8% 10.0% 6.9% 9.5% 9.6% 9.9% 7.8% 6.6% 3.7% 0.9%
Hannah Steadman 16.6% 14.9% 14.1% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8% 6.4% 5.4% 4.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Isabella Loosbrock 16.1% 16.5% 13.7% 10.8% 11.0% 10.9% 7.1% 5.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 9.7% 9.5% 10.2% 12.2% 8.8% 8.7% 11.0% 7.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Molly Pleskus 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.9% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 8.2% 7.2% 2.7%
Kelsey Shakin 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 9.4% 7.9% 10.4% 9.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.4% 8.4% 4.6% 1.7%
Delaney Bamford 8.7% 6.6% 9.3% 7.9% 8.4% 7.8% 9.4% 9.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 4.9% 1.3%
Greta Farrell 6.0% 7.7% 6.6% 6.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 10.1% 9.6% 10.4% 8.8% 8.0% 2.1%
Alexandra Maurillo 8.3% 9.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 8.4% 9.8% 9.6% 7.7% 8.2% 7.3% 3.6% 1.4%
Annie Spence 5.5% 5.9% 5.6% 5.4% 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 8.6% 9.5% 10.0% 11.0% 9.8% 6.1%
Marie Bergsund 1.9% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 8.6% 12.0% 22.3% 26.6%
Allison Cahn 3.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.8% 5.6% 8.0% 5.8% 8.5% 7.7% 11.4% 13.5% 14.7% 8.2%
Erin Coyne 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 5.4% 6.2% 8.8% 18.1% 47.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.