Race 13B

toni-deutsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hannah Steadman 16.4% 14.7% 15.3% 12.3% 10.8% 7.6% 7.5% 6.8% 4.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucy Wilmot 7.4% 8.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 4.0% 1.1%
Erin Coyne 1.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 4.1% 4.4% 5.6% 10.8% 18.6% 45.0%
Kelsey Shakin 6.8% 7.8% 7.9% 9.7% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 8.9% 8.4% 5.1% 2.0%
Allison Cahn 5.2% 3.9% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 7.9% 9.3% 11.3% 13.5% 12.7% 6.4%
Alexandra Maurillo 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 9.9% 8.5% 10.2% 10.1% 7.8% 8.4% 6.7% 8.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Greta Farrell 7.9% 5.8% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.3% 8.0% 9.0% 9.2% 10.7% 9.5% 7.6% 2.0%
Delaney Bamford 6.9% 9.0% 6.7% 7.0% 9.6% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 8.6% 7.1% 5.4% 2.0%
Isabella Loosbrock 17.0% 15.7% 14.0% 12.1% 9.6% 8.7% 7.8% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 7.2% 6.1% 6.7% 8.1% 8.1% 9.4% 8.1% 8.7% 9.6% 9.4% 7.5% 8.1% 3.0%
Annie Spence 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 5.6% 6.6% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 9.3% 11.2% 9.4% 5.0%
Katharina (KB) Knapp 8.7% 11.3% 9.6% 9.5% 11.2% 8.3% 9.5% 8.4% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 3.2% 0.9%
Marie Bergsund 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 3.6% 3.3% 5.2% 6.1% 7.7% 11.8% 21.0% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.