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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.36vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+3.91vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+5.57vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+2.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+1.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.68-0.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+1.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.07-1.18vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.43+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.51-1.24vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University3.36-4.88vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.35vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.13vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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5.91Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.93Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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10.11Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.12Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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12.34Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 25.7% | 22.2% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| John Meleney | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 7.4% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 42.5% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.