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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.60+2.57vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.17+0.90vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.17-0.10vs Predicted
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4Tulane University-0.71-0.33vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.60-1.43vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.02-3.27vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32-3.78vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.60-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.9Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
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2.9Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
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3.67Tulane University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.57Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.73Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.020.3%1st Place
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3.22Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.2%1st Place
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4.9Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Oyston | 13.2% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 23.4% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 23.4% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Corrigan | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 13.2% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 22.6% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Parish | 26.9% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 52.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.