← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University-0.17+1.98vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.32+1.10vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.02-0.29vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University-0.71-0.30vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.17-2.02vs Predicted
-
6Rice University-1.60-1.04vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University-0.60-3.44vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University-0.60-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.98Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
-
3.1Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.320.2%1st Place
-
2.71Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.020.3%1st Place
-
3.7Tulane University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
2.98Texas A&M University-0.170.2%1st Place
-
4.96Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
3.56Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.56Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Bristow | 21.6% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Essenburgh | 20.5% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Parish | 26.8% | 21.4% | 23.1% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Corrigan | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 22.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 21.6% | 22.2% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 54.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 14.5% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 21.0% | 12.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.