Race 1A

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Trevor Long 36.7% 24.1% 14.8% 12.0% 5.3% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 13.7% 14.9% 17.3% 14.5% 13.9% 11.0% 7.5% 4.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Rebecca Quirke 6.6% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 13.3% 15.8% 15.1% 9.6% 2.8%
Thomas Walden 14.2% 17.4% 17.4% 15.5% 13.2% 10.5% 5.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.2%
Catherine Kerner 6.9% 7.6% 6.9% 10.5% 10.9% 12.0% 14.6% 15.1% 12.3% 3.2%
Zachary Bresnick 7.3% 9.2% 8.9% 11.6% 13.3% 12.8% 12.4% 13.5% 9.2% 1.8%
Michael Kann 6.7% 8.6% 12.9% 11.1% 13.7% 14.4% 13.5% 11.3% 6.1% 1.7%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.8% 6.3% 7.7% 9.3% 10.8% 10.7% 14.1% 15.7% 17.5% 3.1%
Benjamin Eley 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 8.6% 11.4% 15.7% 30.5% 12.0%
Ella Cedarholm 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 11.0% 74.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.