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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.49vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+2.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+0.84vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.73+1.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.89+0.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.13vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.61-1.17vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.79-2.62vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.72vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.66-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.4%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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3.84Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.53Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.17Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.28Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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9.31University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 36.1% | 24.5% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Walden | 15.7% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Michael Kann | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Catherine Kerner | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Eley | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 29.9% | 12.0% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 11.7% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.