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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+4.45vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+2.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.89+2.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.62+0.74vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-3.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.96vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.20-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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2.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.79Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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7.21Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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9.59University of New Hampshire-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kann | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 34.1% | 23.2% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 14.0% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 7.3% |
| Caroline Edwards | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 84.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.