Race 4A

fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rebecca Quirke 6.7% 9.6% 8.8% 11.7% 10.7% 13.3% 14.6% 12.2% 10.8% 1.6%
Thomas Walden 16.9% 16.9% 15.8% 13.8% 13.2% 10.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Zachary Bresnick 6.4% 8.2% 9.5% 9.0% 12.9% 13.7% 16.3% 13.9% 9.1% 1.0%
Benjamin Eley 2.2% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 7.6% 9.6% 11.1% 16.6% 33.5% 7.6%
Michael Kann 8.6% 8.5% 11.6% 11.6% 12.3% 15.6% 12.8% 10.0% 7.9% 1.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.9% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.6% 11.8% 12.5% 18.6% 15.7% 2.8%
Julien Guiot 12.8% 15.8% 17.0% 16.7% 13.7% 8.6% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Trevor Long 35.3% 23.9% 17.5% 11.3% 6.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Edwards 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 1.8% 1.5% 3.4% 7.0% 83.8%
Sofia Marie Mascia 5.0% 6.8% 8.1% 12.2% 11.7% 11.0% 14.0% 16.3% 12.8% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.