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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+3.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.62vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.73+2.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+1.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79+0.22vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.61-0.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-3.21vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.89-2.84vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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2.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.3%1st Place
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5.54Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.22Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.79Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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5.16Bowdoin College1.890.1%1st Place
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7.06Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Long | 30.4% | 26.3% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 11.8% |
| Thomas Walden | 15.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Kann | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Benjamin Eley | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.