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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+3.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.47+2.80vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.27+2.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02-0.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.51-0.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76-2.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.27+0.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-2.86vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.08Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
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3.42Boston College2.020.2%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.510.1%1st Place
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3.97Connecticut College1.760.2%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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6.89Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 14.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Klein | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 7.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 20.7% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| John Reyes | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Julia Leighton | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 36.2% |
| Fiona McKellar | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.