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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+5.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.39+4.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.63+3.05vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43+5.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-1.53vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.68-0.10vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.61vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-0.35vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.53+2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.07-3.07vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-4.40vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-5.79vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.13vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut2.51-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.96Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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5.9Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.39Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.43Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.21Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.87Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.1% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 23.6% | 32.6% |
| Weston Barlow | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 43.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.