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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+2.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+2.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.47+1.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+1.37vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+0.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.76-1.76vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.65-2.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.51-3.17vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Boston College2.020.2%1st Place
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4.7Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.200.1%1st Place
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5.46Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
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4.24Connecticut College1.760.1%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.510.1%1st Place
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7.19Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Downey | 20.2% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Aaron Klein | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Fiona McKellar | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Emmett Ulian | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Victoria Marquez | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| John Reyes | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 17.1% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.