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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.97vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+1.44vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+2.98vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.59+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22+0.54vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.48+2.33vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University0.13-1.11vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80+2.37vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.02-1.65vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-0.93-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Clemson University0.7318.3%1st Place
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3.44North Carolina State University1.1221.4%1st Place
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5.98The Citadel0.197.6%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University0.5912.8%1st Place
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5.54University of North Carolina0.229.7%1st Place
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8.33North Carolina State University-0.483.2%1st Place
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5.89Vanderbilt University0.138.1%1st Place
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6.17Duke University0.068.3%1st Place
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11.37University of South Carolina-1.801.2%1st Place
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11.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.3%1st Place
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9.35University of Georgia-1.022.0%1st Place
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9.01Vanderbilt University-0.932.2%1st Place
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10.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.8%1st Place
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9.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 21.4% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Jack Schultz | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 31.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 28.6% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.