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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.07+6.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.89+4.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.39+0.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.84+1.63vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-0.62vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-2.30vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-3.99vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.51-1.22vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53+0.62vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.43-2.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-7.10vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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3.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.01Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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12.62Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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10.16Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.9Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston Barlow | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.6% | 20.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| John Meleney | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 25.1% | 32.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.