Race 1A

buckeye-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Mosgo 4.4% 5.5% 5.5% 7.4% 7.5% 9.8% 14.6% 17.3% 17.1% 10.9%
Rachel Rantanen 16.0% 16.4% 15.7% 16.1% 12.3% 10.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Colin Mackay 9.8% 12.6% 11.7% 12.9% 14.7% 13.4% 11.6% 9.0% 3.6% 0.7%
Margot Sherman Jollis 6.3% 8.0% 10.4% 10.5% 13.9% 14.5% 13.9% 12.7% 7.0% 2.8%
Monica Julian 12.2% 11.9% 13.9% 14.3% 14.5% 12.7% 8.6% 7.2% 4.2% 0.5%
Andrew Atkins 1.9% 3.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.8% 14.7% 27.4% 27.8%
Ian Pope 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 7.1% 8.6% 21.7% 50.9%
Austin Lee 5.5% 6.1% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 12.7% 16.1% 15.0% 11.3% 4.2%
Mark Barrow 9.7% 9.6% 11.4% 12.7% 13.5% 13.7% 11.4% 10.6% 5.7% 1.7%
Scott Sullivan 33.5% 25.0% 16.2% 11.0% 7.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.