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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+1.57vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+3.50vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.00+2.05vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59-0.19vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.81+1.62vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.25-1.53vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.43-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo0.20-3.45vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.47-1.12vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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5.5Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.05Miami University-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.81Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.62Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.47Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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5.88Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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7.88Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.67Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sullivan | 34.3% | 24.4% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 2.6% |
| Mark Barrow | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.2% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 8.7% |
| Monica Julian | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Austin Lee | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Colin Mackay | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Atkins | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 28.1% | 27.0% |
| Ian Pope | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.