Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Disbrow 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 9.9% 11.2% 14.3% 16.5% 14.0% 5.6%
Scott Sullivan 33.1% 24.4% 15.6% 12.7% 7.9% 3.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Rachel Rantanen 15.1% 15.1% 16.4% 14.7% 15.0% 10.5% 7.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
Austin Lee 4.8% 6.4% 7.8% 10.2% 10.3% 11.5% 15.0% 16.5% 12.4% 5.1%
Margot Sherman Jollis 7.7% 8.0% 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% 13.2% 14.7% 13.2% 9.5% 2.6%
Colin Mackay 12.0% 11.2% 12.7% 13.0% 12.3% 13.4% 11.8% 8.3% 4.1% 1.2%
Monica Julian 9.5% 13.7% 13.6% 14.3% 13.1% 14.2% 10.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Mark Barrow 8.7% 10.3% 11.7% 12.1% 11.9% 14.1% 10.4% 12.0% 7.1% 1.7%
Ian Pope 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 2.1% 5.7% 8.8% 19.9% 53.4%
Andrew Atkins 1.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 6.7% 7.8% 12.9% 28.3% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.