Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Disbrow 6.0% 5.3% 9.3% 8.9% 9.1% 11.1% 13.6% 17.7% 14.3% 4.7%
Rachel Rantanen 15.0% 17.9% 14.7% 15.8% 11.5% 11.1% 7.5% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Colin Mackay 10.2% 11.3% 12.0% 12.5% 14.0% 14.4% 12.4% 7.6% 4.3% 1.3%
Scott Sullivan 32.2% 24.1% 17.1% 13.0% 7.4% 3.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Mark Barrow 9.4% 8.6% 13.2% 11.1% 13.9% 13.8% 11.7% 9.9% 6.3% 2.1%
Austin Lee 7.2% 6.0% 7.4% 8.1% 10.9% 12.8% 13.5% 15.9% 13.4% 4.8%
Margot Sherman Jollis 5.1% 9.7% 9.0% 10.4% 13.4% 12.1% 15.3% 14.5% 7.2% 3.3%
Monica Julian 11.6% 14.0% 12.6% 13.0% 13.9% 12.1% 10.4% 7.2% 4.3% 0.9%
Andrew Atkins 2.2% 1.8% 3.2% 4.1% 3.9% 5.2% 8.5% 12.4% 29.5% 29.2%
Ian Pope 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 3.1% 2.0% 4.1% 5.4% 8.9% 19.1% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.