Race 5A

buckeye-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Scott Sullivan 34.3% 25.1% 16.6% 9.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Monica Julian 11.5% 11.3% 13.4% 14.9% 12.8% 13.0% 9.7% 8.1% 4.6% 0.7%
Mark Barrow 9.7% 8.1% 10.8% 11.0% 13.0% 15.1% 13.1% 10.7% 6.7% 1.8%
Margot Sherman Jollis 5.8% 8.5% 10.0% 11.5% 11.3% 14.0% 13.8% 11.5% 11.2% 2.4%
Colin Mackay 11.2% 12.4% 12.2% 12.2% 15.3% 12.8% 10.7% 8.0% 3.8% 1.4%
Rachel Rantanen 15.4% 18.4% 15.5% 15.5% 12.4% 9.5% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4%
Molly Disbrow 4.3% 6.3% 7.5% 9.2% 10.0% 12.5% 14.3% 18.8% 12.0% 5.1%
Austin Lee 5.0% 6.9% 8.9% 9.2% 11.2% 10.0% 15.7% 15.3% 12.8% 5.0%
Andrew Atkins 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 4.2% 5.7% 7.9% 13.6% 28.1% 29.3%
Ian Pope 1.2% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 5.8% 8.9% 18.8% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.