← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colin Mackay 11.8% 12.3% 13.3% 11.4% 12.5% 12.3% 13.5% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3%
Monica Julian 11.5% 11.8% 13.7% 13.1% 14.2% 12.7% 10.8% 7.4% 3.9% 0.9%
Scott Sullivan 31.9% 23.8% 17.7% 13.0% 7.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Margot Sherman Jollis 6.5% 7.6% 9.8% 11.3% 10.6% 14.5% 15.1% 11.8% 10.5% 2.3%
Rachel Rantanen 15.1% 17.5% 15.8% 15.8% 13.8% 9.0% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Mark Barrow 10.9% 9.8% 9.1% 11.4% 13.5% 13.5% 12.0% 11.4% 6.1% 2.3%
Austin Lee 4.0% 6.7% 8.3% 8.5% 11.8% 12.5% 15.0% 15.6% 12.9% 4.7%
Molly Disbrow 5.0% 7.3% 7.1% 9.7% 9.4% 11.7% 13.6% 17.9% 12.3% 6.0%
Andrew Atkins 2.1% 1.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.9% 8.0% 13.1% 29.2% 28.8%
Ian Pope 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 3.8% 10.1% 19.3% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.