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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+3.62vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.25+2.55vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.31-0.37vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+1.54vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.59-1.16vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.00-0.95vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.43-0.97vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.48-1.94vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-1.47-1.03vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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4.55Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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2.63University of Wisconsin1.310.3%1st Place
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5.54Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.84Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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5.05Miami University-0.000.1%1st Place
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6.03Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.06Ohio State University-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.97Ohio University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.71Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Monica Julian | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Scott Sullivan | 31.9% | 23.8% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 15.1% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Mark Barrow | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Austin Lee | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Molly Disbrow | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Atkins | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 29.2% | 28.8% |
| Ian Pope | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 10.1% | 19.3% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.