← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University2.49+0.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.95vs Predicted
-
3University of Toledo-0.09+0.97vs Predicted
-
4Ohio University-0.05-0.13vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-2.18+2.67vs Predicted
-
6Denison University-1.18-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.69+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-1.62-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-1.75-1.95vs Predicted
-
10Northern Michigan University-1.19-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.33Michigan State University2.490.7%1st Place
-
3.95University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
-
3.97University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
-
3.87Ohio University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.67Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
-
5.87Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
8.6Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.72Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
7.05Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.97Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gustafson | 74.5% | 19.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.1% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 5.8% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dick Chantz | 4.7% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 25.2% | 23.6% |
| John Bennet | 2.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 21.8% | 45.9% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 1.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 9.2% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 1.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.