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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+8.21vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.29+7.91vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+3.57vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+3.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.53+2.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.52+0.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.36-0.48vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.16vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.08-1.63vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.61-8.83vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.76-6.41vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-6.88vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.50-7.08vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.35-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.61Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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9.66Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Swanson | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Mayumi Roller | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Megan Magill | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.