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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.51+8.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+6.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.14+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.30+5.02vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+1.24vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.03+0.13vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.87-0.26vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76-0.61vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.00+1.68vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.00+0.15vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+0.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.59-3.72vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.14-3.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-7.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.40-2.54vs Predicted
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16Yale University0.40-3.71vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.62-1.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Bowdoin College1.514.9%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.8%1st Place
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6.34Brown University2.1410.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island1.305.5%1st Place
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6.24Boston College2.0911.7%1st Place
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6.13Yale University2.0310.8%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University1.879.4%1st Place
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7.39Brown University1.767.6%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College1.002.9%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.003.7%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.882.1%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.595.3%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College1.143.9%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.099.8%1st Place
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12.46Boston University0.401.5%1st Place
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12.29Yale University0.402.3%1st Place
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15.2University of Vermont-0.621.1%1st Place
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15.77Salve Regina University-0.790.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Phelan | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| William Kulas | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Posner | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Brock | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Wahlig | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Begin | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 23.8% | 32.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 19.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.