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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.48vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+2.00vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+3.25vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.59+0.85vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.22-0.53vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.48+1.33vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.80+3.44vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.69vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University0.13-4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.02-1.70vs Predicted
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12Vanderbilt University-0.93-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48North Carolina State University1.1223.8%1st Place
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4.0Clemson University0.7317.6%1st Place
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6.25Duke University0.066.6%1st Place
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4.85North Carolina State University0.5911.6%1st Place
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6.0The Citadel0.197.3%1st Place
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5.47University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
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8.33North Carolina State University-0.483.5%1st Place
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11.44University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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9.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.1%1st Place
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5.86Vanderbilt University0.1310.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Georgia-1.022.6%1st Place
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8.9Vanderbilt University-0.932.7%1st Place
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10.19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.4%1st Place
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11.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 23.8% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.6% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Wheary | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 31.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Jack Schultz | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.7% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.