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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+7.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+5.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+2.80vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.39+1.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.07+0.82vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+2.00vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.63-2.98vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89-1.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.51-1.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.41-5.94vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.18vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.8Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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3.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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6.96University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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10.0Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.02Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.01Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.82Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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12.32Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.5% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 7.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
| John Meleney | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Campbell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 21.1% | 41.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 20.5% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.