← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University2.49+0.33vs Predicted
-
2Denison University-1.18+3.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Toledo-0.09+1.00vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-1.62+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University-0.05-1.18vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.09vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.69+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-2.18-0.31vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-1.19-3.06vs Predicted
-
10Western Michigan University-1.75-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.33Michigan State University2.490.7%1st Place
-
5.91Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
4.0University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.81Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
3.82Ohio University-0.050.1%1st Place
-
3.91University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
-
8.6Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
-
7.69Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
-
5.94Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.99Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gustafson | 74.3% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Bennet | 2.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 6.3% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 0.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 9.9% |
| Dick Chantz | 7.4% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 5.9% | 19.4% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 47.4% |
| Stacey Nash | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 25.4% | 22.4% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 1.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.