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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.48+2.82vs Predicted
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2Northern Michigan University-1.19+3.37vs Predicted
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3Denison University-1.18+2.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.87vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.05-2.00vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.62+0.24vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75-0.44vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.45-2.18vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-1.65vs Predicted
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10Miami University-2.69-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Toledo-0.480.2%1st Place
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5.37Northern Michigan University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.41Denison University-1.180.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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3.0Ohio University-0.050.3%1st Place
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6.24Ohio State University-1.620.1%1st Place
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6.56Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.82Michigan State University-1.450.1%1st Place
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7.35Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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8.29Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lowry | 16.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 7.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| John Bennet | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 23.2% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dick Chantz | 25.1% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Drake Hullinger | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 10.7% |
| Noah Marzke | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Stacey Nash | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.