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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.48+3.19vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University2.49-0.70vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.62+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.41vs Predicted
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5Ohio University-0.05-1.49vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.18-0.73vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.75-0.66vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.18-1.03vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.69-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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1.3Michigan State University2.490.8%1st Place
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6.14Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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3.51Ohio University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.27Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.34Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.97Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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7.68Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lowry | 4.7% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gustafson | 76.2% | 18.0% | 5.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 1.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 9.7% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.5% | 20.5% | 25.5% | 22.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dick Chantz | 6.8% | 25.9% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Bennet | 2.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Drake Hullinger | 1.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 12.3% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 25.9% | 24.9% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.