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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University2.49+0.25vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+2.38vs Predicted
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3Ohio University-0.05+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.46vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.62+0.99vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.75+0.32vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.18-1.62vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.18-1.04vs Predicted
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9Miami University-2.69-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25Michigan State University2.490.8%1st Place
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4.38University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.54Ohio University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.99Ohio State University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.32Western Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.38Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.96Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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7.65Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gustafson | 79.9% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 2.7% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Dick Chantz | 5.6% | 24.6% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.0% | 25.0% | 23.4% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam Sturgeon | 1.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 11.7% |
| Drake Hullinger | 0.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 20.9% | 11.8% |
| John Bennet | 1.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| Stacey Nash | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 26.8% | 23.7% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.