Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry Dumke 9.8% 9.3% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 11.1% 9.4% 8.7% 7.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2.0%
Matthew Lyons 8.3% 10.9% 10.1% 9.6% 10.8% 9.8% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 6.0% 4.9% 1.9%
Audrey Giblin 13.0% 10.2% 12.6% 11.0% 11.5% 9.9% 10.1% 7.9% 6.3% 4.1% 2.6% 0.8%
James Beatty 16.6% 16.9% 14.5% 12.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.5% 4.9% 4.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Janel DeCurtis 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.7% 10.3% 10.7% 16.1% 19.6%
Peter Christensen 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.8% 5.5% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 10.7% 13.0% 12.6% 10.9%
Cameron Loncoski 6.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.3% 8.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 9.5% 9.8% 10.2% 6.7%
Thomas Harden 11.4% 10.3% 9.5% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.3% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 4.3% 3.1%
Solomon Tarlin 3.4% 4.1% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 7.9% 7.7% 9.6% 10.9% 11.6% 14.0% 12.8%
Ben Brown 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% 4.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 6.7% 8.2% 10.9% 16.3% 30.9%
Frank Reeg 4.9% 4.4% 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 10.9% 8.4% 12.6% 12.0% 10.7%
Mack Fox 14.4% 14.3% 11.3% 12.3% 10.5% 9.0% 9.9% 7.4% 5.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.