Race 2A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Janel DeCurtis 3.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 6.2% 4.5% 7.7% 6.6% 10.9% 12.2% 15.4% 20.4%
Peter Christensen 4.4% 6.1% 5.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.6% 10.4% 10.8% 12.9% 10.9% 10.3%
Henry Dumke 10.8% 8.9% 10.4% 9.5% 10.5% 10.0% 9.2% 9.4% 7.7% 7.8% 4.4% 1.4%
Cameron Loncoski 5.7% 5.8% 8.0% 9.0% 8.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.9% 8.8% 7.7% 11.8% 6.8%
Thomas Harden 8.9% 10.8% 10.2% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 10.3% 9.0% 7.1% 6.5% 5.9% 3.0%
Audrey Giblin 12.1% 12.5% 11.5% 12.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.1% 8.1% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2%
Matthew Lyons 10.8% 9.4% 11.8% 10.0% 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 4.2% 2.0%
James Beatty 18.2% 16.1% 12.4% 12.4% 11.5% 9.3% 7.9% 5.3% 2.8% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Ben Brown 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 2.9% 3.9% 6.1% 5.9% 7.1% 9.8% 10.6% 16.2% 29.1%
Frank Reeg 5.5% 5.1% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.9% 12.1% 11.4% 8.0%
Mack Fox 13.0% 14.2% 12.3% 11.9% 10.1% 10.5% 8.7% 6.9% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Solomon Tarlin 4.8% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 6.1% 8.1% 6.4% 9.0% 11.4% 11.8% 13.2% 16.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.