Race 3A

callagy-ross

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

0.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry Dumke 9.3% 9.9% 9.2% 11.4% 9.7% 10.1% 9.4% 11.2% 7.3% 5.4% 5.1% 2.0%
Audrey Giblin 12.0% 11.9% 12.1% 11.7% 10.3% 9.1% 11.0% 8.0% 6.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8%
Thomas Harden 10.1% 9.0% 10.0% 10.2% 8.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.1% 10.1% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9%
Cameron Loncoski 5.4% 5.4% 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 9.9% 9.3% 8.4% 7.3%
Ben Brown 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.9% 5.0% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 9.4% 11.6% 16.4% 30.2%
Janel DeCurtis 3.6% 3.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 4.8% 7.0% 8.3% 8.3% 12.8% 16.5% 19.6%
James Beatty 18.1% 16.4% 14.2% 11.6% 10.2% 8.5% 8.5% 5.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Mack Fox 15.5% 16.1% 11.3% 10.1% 10.0% 11.2% 7.7% 6.6% 4.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.2%
Matthew Lyons 8.3% 10.0% 12.3% 10.8% 10.9% 10.1% 8.3% 9.8% 8.1% 5.7% 4.1% 1.6%
Frank Reeg 5.7% 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 9.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.9% 10.3% 11.9% 10.9% 9.0%
Solomon Tarlin 3.9% 4.4% 3.8% 5.2% 5.6% 7.3% 6.5% 9.3% 11.1% 13.0% 15.2% 14.7%
Peter Christensen 5.7% 3.7% 4.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.1% 10.0% 6.7% 10.9% 12.2% 13.4% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.