Race 4A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Janel DeCurtis 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.3% 10.8% 12.5% 14.9% 19.6%
Henry Dumke 9.3% 9.7% 13.6% 9.7% 9.7% 7.9% 12.0% 8.0% 8.1% 6.0% 4.6% 1.4%
Mack Fox 14.2% 11.6% 14.2% 12.1% 10.4% 10.8% 8.1% 7.0% 5.7% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Ben Brown 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 3.9% 5.4% 4.3% 4.8% 7.7% 8.6% 11.1% 15.1% 32.4%
Audrey Giblin 11.9% 14.1% 10.9% 11.4% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 7.3% 6.0% 4.6% 3.4% 1.4%
Cameron Loncoski 5.6% 8.0% 7.5% 5.9% 7.4% 9.1% 9.7% 8.9% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6% 6.6%
Matthew Lyons 9.9% 10.1% 10.7% 10.8% 9.5% 9.3% 10.0% 7.3% 8.2% 6.7% 4.9% 2.6%
James Beatty 19.5% 15.5% 12.5% 11.0% 12.1% 10.1% 6.7% 5.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Solomon Tarlin 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 7.6% 11.2% 9.7% 12.1% 14.3% 12.1%
Peter Christensen 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 9.9% 10.5% 12.2% 12.2% 10.3%
Frank Reeg 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 8.6% 8.3% 9.5% 9.5% 11.8% 11.6% 11.3%
Thomas Harden 9.1% 9.9% 8.7% 11.1% 10.6% 9.6% 8.7% 9.9% 8.6% 6.6% 5.7% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.