Race 5A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Henry Dumke 10.6% 9.7% 9.5% 12.6% 12.0% 10.4% 9.0% 8.3% 7.2% 5.3% 4.1% 1.3%
Cameron Loncoski 5.8% 6.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.3% 9.6% 8.0% 11.5% 11.0% 8.7% 8.4% 4.9%
James Beatty 18.8% 15.4% 15.2% 11.9% 10.7% 10.4% 7.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Charles Hicks 3.6% 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 8.2% 9.2% 9.3% 11.2% 15.6% 17.6%
Solomon Tarlin 3.8% 5.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.5% 7.0% 8.4% 7.8% 10.6% 13.6% 11.8% 13.0%
Peter Christensen 5.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.4% 7.4% 6.8% 10.2% 8.6% 12.6% 12.9% 9.2% 9.2%
Matthew Lyons 10.1% 12.4% 9.9% 12.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.0% 7.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.0%
Janel DeCurtis 5.2% 4.5% 4.5% 4.8% 6.8% 7.1% 7.2% 8.5% 11.0% 9.8% 15.3% 15.3%
Audrey Giblin 11.9% 15.0% 16.0% 10.0% 12.1% 9.2% 8.2% 7.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Ben Brown 4.0% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 3.7% 4.8% 6.3% 8.0% 7.6% 13.4% 15.7% 26.0%
Alexander Bowen 5.0% 3.6% 5.0% 7.7% 7.0% 7.2% 10.2% 8.7% 12.5% 11.7% 11.5% 9.9%
Mack Fox 15.4% 15.3% 13.7% 10.5% 10.2% 11.0% 8.1% 7.5% 3.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.