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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.63+5.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+4.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.30vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.32+8.81vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.39+1.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut2.51+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.07-1.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.68-4.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-2.43vs Predicted
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12Bates College2.43-1.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-5.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-5.31vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.59Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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12.81Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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5.97Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.25Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.21Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.3Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Perkins | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| John Meleney | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Ingham | 25.9% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Campbell | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 43.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 22.3% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.