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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+5.12vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.97vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.12+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.22+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+4.83vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.13+0.19vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.59-2.12vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.19-2.17vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-0.93-0.09vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.48-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.02-1.78vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.36-1.85vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.80-1.67vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Duke University0.067.1%1st Place
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3.97Clemson University0.7317.4%1st Place
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3.4North Carolina State University1.1224.1%1st Place
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5.46University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
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9.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.9%1st Place
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6.19Vanderbilt University0.136.8%1st Place
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4.88North Carolina State University0.5913.0%1st Place
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5.83The Citadel0.198.2%1st Place
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8.91Vanderbilt University-0.933.0%1st Place
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8.36North Carolina State University-0.483.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Georgia-1.022.9%1st Place
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10.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.361.3%1st Place
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11.33University of South Carolina-1.801.4%1st Place
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11.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 17.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 24.1% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Jack Schultz | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Wheary | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Victor Larimer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 30.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.