Race 6A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Lyons 9.1% 10.1% 10.6% 9.8% 11.8% 10.6% 9.5% 9.2% 7.6% 6.2% 3.8% 1.7%
Henry Dumke 9.7% 11.0% 11.9% 10.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.6% 7.9% 6.2% 6.3% 4.4% 1.0%
Alexander Bowen 6.0% 4.5% 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 8.7% 10.7% 11.3% 12.4% 10.9% 9.7%
Janel DeCurtis 3.3% 3.3% 4.9% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 9.1% 9.0% 10.8% 9.9% 16.3% 15.1%
Mack Fox 15.1% 16.3% 13.8% 10.3% 11.2% 10.0% 7.4% 5.5% 4.9% 2.9% 1.6% 1.0%
Audrey Giblin 13.1% 12.8% 12.1% 13.1% 10.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0% 2.2% 0.7%
Ben Brown 3.4% 3.7% 2.9% 4.4% 4.8% 6.4% 4.9% 7.4% 8.6% 13.2% 15.8% 24.5%
Charles Hicks 4.4% 4.2% 5.4% 5.2% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 12.0% 14.4% 17.4%
James Beatty 18.8% 18.5% 14.4% 13.2% 10.1% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3%
Cameron Loncoski 7.8% 6.0% 7.3% 9.2% 8.3% 10.2% 9.5% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4% 6.1% 6.1%
Solomon Tarlin 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.6% 6.0% 6.4% 8.5% 9.8% 11.4% 11.7% 12.8% 13.7%
Peter Christensen 6.0% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 9.7% 10.2% 11.1% 11.4% 11.3% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.