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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+6.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.52+1.99vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+0.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.20+0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-1.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.93-3.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.36vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.33-1.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.61-2.73vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.25-2.54vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.79Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.99Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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4.57Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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3.94Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.46Maine Maritime Academy1.250.0%1st Place
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10.39Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Collin Alexander | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Chester Jacobs | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Preston Duclos | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Colin Brego | 19.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 8.4% |
| Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.6% |
| Matteo Alampi | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Jack Gould | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 13.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.