Race 2B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Preston Duclos 13.9% 12.1% 12.6% 12.5% 13.2% 11.1% 8.5% 6.7% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Christopher Keller 7.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.7% 10.4% 9.5% 10.3% 10.9% 10.4% 6.4% 4.9% 0.7%
Chester Jacobs 12.6% 11.2% 12.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.8% 11.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Vincent Yannelli 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.9% 10.9% 10.6% 10.7% 4.3%
Andrew Widmeier 11.8% 11.7% 13.4% 10.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.1% 7.9% 5.8% 4.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Matteo Alampi 4.4% 5.6% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 7.6% 9.1% 9.9% 13.4% 13.3% 11.2% 7.1%
Colin Brego 18.4% 18.2% 14.3% 12.8% 10.7% 7.8% 7.4% 4.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Collin Alexander 14.8% 13.8% 11.0% 11.5% 10.5% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 5.2% 3.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Kyle Brego 3.8% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 6.9% 8.6% 9.6% 9.8% 11.9% 14.0% 13.7% 6.6%
Jack Gould 3.9% 3.6% 4.3% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 6.9% 9.5% 10.5% 15.2% 17.9% 12.8%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 3.1% 3.7% 3.3% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 6.4% 9.5% 12.1% 14.4% 16.9% 12.8%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 6.0% 9.9% 15.3% 53.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.