Race 3B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Preston Duclos 12.9% 13.1% 14.1% 11.5% 12.2% 10.8% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Collin Alexander 12.4% 14.4% 11.4% 11.5% 11.6% 10.0% 9.3% 7.2% 6.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 4.2% 3.7% 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 6.8% 9.2% 11.6% 15.8% 16.0% 11.5%
Andrew Widmeier 10.6% 13.3% 12.7% 11.6% 11.8% 9.0% 8.7% 8.4% 6.3% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Colin Brego 17.0% 19.0% 15.2% 10.4% 10.0% 10.5% 6.6% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Chester Jacobs 12.6% 10.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.0% 10.7% 11.4% 6.7% 6.4% 5.1% 1.3% 0.6%
Christopher Keller 10.2% 8.4% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 11.0% 9.0% 10.3% 8.9% 6.5% 5.2% 1.6%
Jade Forsberg 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 2.2% 5.1% 5.5% 8.2% 13.6% 53.3%
Kyle Brego 3.9% 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 8.5% 8.4% 9.3% 11.0% 10.9% 13.5% 14.0% 7.4%
Matteo Alampi 5.6% 5.5% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.9% 10.0% 11.4% 11.7% 11.8% 12.5% 6.7%
Jack Gould 3.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.9% 4.4% 5.0% 7.0% 8.9% 10.8% 14.4% 20.9% 13.2%
Vincent Yannelli 6.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.2% 11.4% 9.9% 12.5% 11.2% 10.0% 4.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.