Race 4B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Chester Jacobs 11.7% 10.3% 13.1% 11.0% 10.9% 12.1% 9.5% 6.7% 7.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4%
Vincent Yannelli 4.9% 5.9% 7.5% 7.0% 7.7% 8.7% 8.4% 10.8% 12.0% 13.9% 9.0% 4.2%
Jade Forsberg 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 3.5% 3.0% 3.6% 5.5% 8.9% 14.5% 53.1%
Collin Alexander 12.1% 11.7% 13.1% 13.0% 11.5% 10.0% 9.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Jack Gould 2.7% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.7% 8.9% 7.3% 11.3% 15.1% 18.5% 12.7%
Christopher Keller 8.8% 8.5% 9.4% 8.6% 9.8% 10.0% 11.6% 10.8% 9.5% 8.0% 3.1% 1.9%
Kyle Brego 4.4% 4.7% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 10.9% 11.4% 13.6% 14.2% 8.7%
Andrew Widmeier 12.4% 13.1% 11.4% 12.2% 10.2% 9.1% 9.4% 9.2% 5.9% 3.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Preston Duclos 15.0% 14.1% 13.2% 12.8% 12.5% 9.2% 9.2% 6.8% 3.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Matteo Alampi 5.1% 5.2% 4.5% 6.5% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 10.9% 12.5% 11.2% 12.9% 6.8%
Colin Brego 16.7% 16.7% 13.3% 13.2% 11.6% 9.7% 7.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 4.8% 3.9% 3.1% 3.4% 5.2% 7.0% 8.1% 9.6% 11.2% 13.5% 19.2% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.