Race 5B

callagy-ross

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Brego 17.9% 14.7% 14.1% 14.7% 12.1% 9.1% 7.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Chester Jacobs 11.1% 12.5% 11.2% 10.7% 11.4% 11.2% 10.3% 7.7% 7.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Andrew Widmeier 13.7% 10.2% 12.5% 9.5% 10.8% 10.9% 9.6% 10.4% 7.1% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Christopher Keller 7.1% 9.3% 8.3% 11.7% 9.8% 11.0% 9.8% 12.2% 8.0% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 10.7% 15.0% 16.7% 11.8%
Vincent Yannelli 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 12.8% 11.8% 11.3% 3.8%
Collin Alexander 13.0% 13.7% 12.9% 11.9% 9.5% 10.6% 9.4% 8.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
Jack Gould 4.1% 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 6.9% 8.6% 11.1% 12.9% 19.7% 12.5%
Preston Duclos 13.6% 15.7% 14.2% 11.9% 11.7% 9.9% 8.8% 7.2% 3.7% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Matteo Alampi 5.9% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 9.1% 10.1% 12.5% 13.8% 10.6% 6.3%
Kyle Brego 3.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.8% 9.8% 12.9% 15.8% 14.4% 8.8%
Jade Forsberg 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 1.3% 2.2% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 5.8% 9.0% 16.1% 53.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.