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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+3.69vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+2.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+2.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.52+1.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.61+2.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.93-2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.60vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.33-0.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.20-3.30vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.24+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.77-3.85vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.25-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.1%1st Place
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5.01Bowdoin College2.520.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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3.99Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College1.330.1%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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10.27Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.34Maine Maritime Academy1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Collin Alexander | 12.0% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 12.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Chester Jacobs | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Matteo Alampi | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 7.4% |
| Colin Brego | 18.4% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 9.7% |
| Christopher Keller | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 52.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Jack Gould | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.