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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+2.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.66+2.69vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.71+1.37vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.29-0.85vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98-1.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.84-2.77vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.32-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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5.37Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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4.15Bowdoin College2.290.2%1st Place
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4.89Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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4.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.23Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.29Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 22.0% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Jack Fullerton | 16.6% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.