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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.38vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+3.47vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.73+0.81vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.59+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.24+1.42vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.13-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92+3.69vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.06-2.14vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.48-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.02-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-1.80-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.84vs Predicted
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13Vanderbilt University-0.93-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38North Carolina State University1.1223.4%1st Place
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5.47The Citadel0.199.6%1st Place
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3.81Clemson University0.7318.1%1st Place
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4.57North Carolina State University0.5913.7%1st Place
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6.42University of North Carolina-0.246.6%1st Place
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5.67Vanderbilt University0.138.2%1st Place
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10.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.9%1st Place
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5.86Duke University0.067.5%1st Place
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7.85North Carolina State University-0.483.4%1st Place
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8.89University of Georgia-1.022.3%1st Place
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10.67University of South Carolina-1.801.7%1st Place
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9.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.4%1st Place
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8.57Vanderbilt University-0.932.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 23.4% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Wheary | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Jack Schultz | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 21.6% | 32.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 34.8% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 11.8% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.