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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.07+5.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+3.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.39+2.80vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+2.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.63+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut2.51+2.70vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+2.01vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.89-0.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.41-3.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-2.20vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.68-5.90vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-5.84vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.18vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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10.01Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.1Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.16Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.82Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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12.34Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 27.4% | 21.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| John Meleney | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 41.9% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.