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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+4.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.98+3.18vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84+2.30vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.29+0.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.71+0.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-2.58vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.65vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.32-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.66-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.18Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.3Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.14Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.42Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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4.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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6.31Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Jack Fullerton | 15.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% |
| Preston Duclos | 22.2% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 27.0% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.