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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+3.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.71+3.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+2.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.84+1.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-0.74vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.32-0.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-4.47vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.66-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Bowdoin College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.73Boston University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.02Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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6.39Northeastern University1.320.1%1st Place
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3.53Roger Williams University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Pierre DuPont | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.4% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 27.3% |
| Preston Duclos | 21.3% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.