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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.12+2.28vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+1.78vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+2.63vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.59-0.43vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.48+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.80+3.63vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University0.13-2.39vs Predicted
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9Vanderbilt University-0.93-0.49vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06-4.12vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.02-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-2.82vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28North Carolina State University1.1224.0%1st Place
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3.78Clemson University0.7318.6%1st Place
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5.51The Citadel0.199.2%1st Place
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6.63University of North Carolina-0.246.1%1st Place
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4.57North Carolina State University0.5913.6%1st Place
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7.97North Carolina State University-0.483.2%1st Place
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10.63University of South Carolina-1.801.2%1st Place
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5.61Vanderbilt University0.138.1%1st Place
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8.51Vanderbilt University-0.932.4%1st Place
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5.88Duke University0.067.2%1st Place
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8.83University of Georgia-1.022.8%1st Place
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9.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.212.4%1st Place
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10.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 24.0% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.6% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| William Wheary | 13.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 32.8% |
| Jack Schultz | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.6% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.