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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+5.73vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.89+6.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+0.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.63+2.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+1.05vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-0.09vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.43+2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.39-2.23vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.53+2.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-3.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.07-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut2.51-3.09vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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3.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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6.05Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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6.05Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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6.91Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.0Bates College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
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12.43Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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12.86Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Ingham | 26.1% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Perkins | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 6.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 32.8% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Weston Barlow | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Andrew | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 6.6% |
| Lucas Campbell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 18.4% | 43.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.