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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.59+3.48vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.12+1.26vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+2.44vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.02+1.84vs Predicted
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8Vanderbilt University0.13-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.35vs Predicted
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10Vanderbilt University-0.93-1.41vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.48-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-1.80-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48North Carolina State University0.5914.0%1st Place
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3.26North Carolina State University1.1224.2%1st Place
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5.54The Citadel0.199.8%1st Place
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6.44University of North Carolina-0.246.3%1st Place
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3.78Clemson University0.7318.7%1st Place
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5.89Duke University0.067.3%1st Place
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8.84University of Georgia-1.022.0%1st Place
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5.82Vanderbilt University0.137.6%1st Place
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9.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.211.5%1st Place
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8.59Vanderbilt University-0.932.6%1st Place
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7.9North Carolina State University-0.483.5%1st Place
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10.58University of South Carolina-1.801.1%1st Place
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10.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.921.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Wheary | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 24.2% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nilah Miller | 18.7% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sebastian Helgesen | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 8.8% |
| Jack Schultz | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.7% |
| Victor Larimer | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Tucker Parks | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 35.3% |
| Joey Dunn | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.