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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+2.27vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.89+0.27vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71-0.48vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-0.42vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.34-0.26vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.81+1.16vs Predicted
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8American University-0.92-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-2.97vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.81-3.38vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-2.41-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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2.27Christopher Newport University1.890.4%1st Place
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2.52Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.27Virginia Tech1.150.2%1st Place
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4.58William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.74Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.16St. John's College-1.810.0%1st Place
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6.82American University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.62William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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9.0Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 17.9% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 36.9% | 25.6% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 27.1% | 28.9% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 17.9% | 19.5% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cooper | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 31.0% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Will Sellers | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.